domingo, 4 de maio de 2008

PETROBRAS - Petroleo Brasileiro SA

In "bloomberg.com":

PETR4:BS
Petroleo Brasileiro SA
Industry: Oil Comp-Integrated

05/02    Sao Paulo  Currency: BRL


Price 43.000 Change 0.800 % Change 1.896 Bid N.A. Ask N.A. Open   44.200
Volume N.A. High 44.200 Low 42.450 52-Wk High 45.445 (11/09/07) 52-Wk Low 21.810 (08/16/07) 1-Yr
Return
91.667

FUNDAMENTALS


Shares
(Millions)
3,700.729
Market Cap
(Millions)
420,459.500
Earnings 2.452 Price/
Earnings
 
17.539
Relative
P/E
1.040
ROE 20.353
Last Dividend
Reported
  
0.026 Regular Cash
Dividend Yield
(Trailing 12mo.)
      
1.765
Rel. Dividend
Yield
     
0.695
90-Day
Volatility
47.268
Beta
vs. IBOV
       
1.015

Price for PETR4:BSSECTOR COMPARATIVE RETURNS


Chart the Performance of PETR4:BS PETR4:BS IBOV:IND

COMPANY PROFILE


Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras explores for and produces oil and natural gas. The Company refines, markets, and supplies oil products. Petrobras operates oil tankers, distribution pipelines, marine, river and lake terminals, thermal power plants, fertilizer plants, and petrochemical units. The Company operates in South America and elsewhere around the world.

Petrobras Finds Make Stock Most Expensive Oil Company:

May 2 (Bloomberg) -- The biggest oil discovery in the Western hemisphere in three decades and speculation about an even larger deposit turned Petroleo Brasileiro SA into the world's most expensive energy producer.

Petrobras, as the company is known, trades at 17.2 times profits after rallying 87 percent in the past year. The shares are twice as expensive as Russia's OAS Lukoil and Royal Dutch Shell Plc of the Netherlands, and 50 percent more than Exxon Mobil Corp., as investors focus on the Rio de Janeiro-based company's oil finds rather than its falling profits.

``You just never know when they're going to make the next announcement,'' said William Landers, who oversees $8.2 billion in Latin American stocks at BlackRock Inc. in Plainsboro, New Jersey, including shares of Petrobras. ``You don't want to be on the wrong side of that trade.''

The Brazilian government's controlling stake in Petrobras may add to the stock's allure on speculation the company will get favorable treatment in exploiting oil. President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's administration pulled 41 exploration licenses from an auction after Petrobras found the Tupi oil field Nov. 8, a discovery that caused the stock to jump 14 percent, the biggest rise in nine years. Tupi, 155 miles (250 kilometers) off Brazil's coast, may have 8 billion barrels of recoverable oil.

Petrobras shares rose another 5.6 percent on April 14 after the head of Brazil's oil agency said the offshore Carioca prospect may hold the equivalent of 33 billion barrels of crude, large enough to be the world's third-biggest field. Chief Executive Officer Jose Sergio Gabrielli said later Petrobras is still exploring to determine Caricoa's size.

Bovespa's Gain

The oil company helped lead Brazil's Bovespa to a 6.3 percent jump on April 30, making it the world's best-performing equity index this year among the 20 biggest markets, after Standard & Poor's assigned the country an investment grade credit rating. Petrobras added 1.9 percent to 43 reais today as the Bovespa increased 2.2 percent.

Petrobras, now the world's ninth-biggest company, with a market value of $248.3 billion, is still half the size of Exxon, the largest oil producer.

Fourth-quarter profit at Petrobras declined about 3 percent as costs increased faster than sales. The company produced an average 2.34 million barrels of oil, natural gas and natural-gas liquids a day in March, down from 2.35 million barrels a day the month before.

Petrobras isn't earning enough, said Saulo Sabba, who oversees Rio-based Maxima Asset Management's Maxima Participacoes FI em Acoes fund, the best performer among Brazil-based equity and hedge funds last year. Sabba said he's ``very underweight'' Petrobras.

Profits Delayed

``It needs to show production growth today,'' Sabba said. ``This is what's going to influence the results this year and next. To add a long-term position, I don't think this is the time.''

Roberto Koeler, who helps manage the equivalent of $3 billion in assets at Icatu Harford in Rio, has Petrobras as his largest holding even though he says the stock is overpriced. Petrobras's price-earnings ratio was 8.77 a year ago and below 5 in June 2004, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The company's valuation surpassed PetroChina Co.'s in November after shares of the Beijing-based oil company posted their biggest monthly retreat ever.

Lukoil, based in Moscow, and Royal Dutch Shell, based in the Hague, trade at 7.77 and 7.6 times earnings, respectively. Irvine, Texas-based Exxon's PE ratio is 11.60. The rest of the world's 10 largest oil producers are also cheaper than Petrobras.

Brazil's biggest company by market value looks less expensive relative to the oil it owns.

Barrel Price

Petrobras trades for the equivalent of 34.91 reais per barrel of proven reserves, or $20.58, according to Bloomberg data. That's cheaper than Exxon's $22.19 a barrel and Royal Dutch Shell's $23.80 per barrel of oil equivalent in reserve. Under this measure, Petrobras is still more expensive than BP and Lukoil, which fetch $14.75 and $4.71 a barrel, Bloomberg data show.

Pumping oil from the Brazilian discoveries, parts of which are 32,000 feet (9,800 meters) below the ocean's surface, will require boring almost twice as far down as the world's deepest offshore well.

``Once Petrobras has the technology to start production on these finds, then we can start looking at the fundamentals,'' Sabba said.

The potential profits make Petrobras a long-term investment and its price relative to potential earnings worth it, said Craig Shaw, who helps manage $6 billion in emerging-market assets at Harding Loevner Management in Somerville, New Jersey.

``It takes a long time to really find out what you got, but early indications are quite striking,'' Shaw said. ``It's a very good company as it stands, and when you throw in the potential of what may be found, yeah, that does add to the valuation.''

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